Primaries Heat Up As March Draws Near
With the March primary approaching, several North Carolina House Democratic primaries are drawing increased attention as polling shows meaningful movement once voters receive more information about the candidates. Recent district-level surveys highlight four races—HD106, HD99, HD27, and HD23—where the balance of support remains fluid and voter engagement in the final weeks could prove decisive.
In HD106 (Mecklenburg County), incumbent Rep. Carla Cunningham faces Rev. Dr. Rodney Sadler in a three-candidate Democratic primary. At baseline, Cunningham and Sadler are tied at 16 percent, with a large share of voters undecided. After voters are presented with information about the candidates’ records, the race shifts substantially, with Sadler leading at approximately 60 percent, Cunningham at 5 percent, and the remainder undecided or voting for another candidate. The contrast between baseline and informed ballots suggests that messaging and voter information are playing a significant role in shaping preferences in this district.
In HD27 (Halifax, Northampton, and Warren Counties), incumbent Rep. Rodney Pierce is running for reelection against Michael Wray in a rematch. Initial polling shows Pierce leading 34 percent to 24 percent, with roughly a third of voters undecided. Once voters receive additional information about the candidates, Pierce’s support increases to 63 percent, while Wray’s support drops to 12 percent. Turnout dynamics, particularly among older voters, are expected to be an important factor in determining the final outcome.
The race in HD99 (Mecklenburg County) features incumbent Rep. Nasif Majeed against challenger Veleria Levy, with a third candidate also on the ballot. At baseline, Majeed leads with 18 percent, followed by Levy at 13 percent, while most voters remain undecided. After voters are given information about the candidates’ voting records and policy positions, Levy moves into a commanding lead at 55 percent, with Majeed falling to 7 percent. The sharp swing underscores how voter awareness may influence the final result in a low-turnout primary.
In HD23 (Bertie, Edgecombe, and Martin Counties), incumbent Rep. Shelly Willingham is challenged by Patricia Smith. Baseline polling shows Willingham ahead 26 percent to 19 percent, with more than half of voters undecided. Following exposure to candidate information, the race reverses, with Smith leading at 52 percent and Willingham at 14 percent. As in other districts, the large undecided share at baseline indicates that voter outreach and information dissemination could be decisive.
Taken together, these races illustrate a broader pattern across several Democratic primaries this cycle: many voters begin undecided, but polling shows substantial movement once they are presented with information about candidates and their records.